
Investment
Process
Equity
Our approach to
stock selection is a "bottom up" style. We are concerned with
identifying individual businesses that we expect to grow and thrive
over many years. We are aware of broad economic developments, but our
actions are not driven by macroeconomic forecasts. Likewise, our investment
decisions are not made on the basis of stock market forecasts; we are,
in fact, highly skeptical of such prognostications. We concentrate,
instead, on specific business opportunities that we find in the equity
markets.
We have a rigorous
selection procedure that is applied consistently to candidates for purchase.
We examine four primary criteria to determine the suitability of a particular
company.
- We identify companies
that have been successful in areas that produce wealth for their shareholders.
We believe that success is a habit and, therefore, restrict our candidates
to businesses with a persistent record of building earnings and financial
power.
- We consider
only companies that we believe have a unique business position that
will produce decisively higher than average returns. Such companies
must have a long history of generating consistently superior returns
on assets as a concrete demonstration of the durability of their market
advantage. Such high returns must have prevailed for at least five
years, and, in the vast majority of cases, our candidates have produced
such returns for more than ten years.
- Before we consider
a stock, we examine its balance sheet, income statement, and cash
flow statement carefully. We will only buy into a business that is
soundly financed. We will not consider companies whose accounting
is complicated and difficult to understand.
- We learn as much
as possible about the management of the companies we buy. We expect
to hold most of our investments for years, so we want to be in business
with people we respect. We examine how they communicate with shareholders.
We also look for clues to management's devotion to the business. For
example, do they have significant personal wealth invested in the
company? Will they repurchase shares when it makes sense? Are they
fair and balanced in setting management compensation? Have they had
a habit of success and honesty in their careers? As part of our investigation,
we attempt to make direct contact with management either through personal
meetings or investor conferences.
When we are satisfied
that we have identified a suitable enterprise, we add it to the list
of companies that we monitor carefully for purchase. We buy a stock
only when it is available at a price that we believe will produce the
returns we seek on our common stock investments. Our hurdle rate is
15%, a rate that doubles capital every five years. The desired price
is determined using quantitative techniques developed over many years.
The economist Keynes
observed "Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation
to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally." Convention
often justifies the price of a stock by simply comparing it to other
stocks a risky proposition in most cases. In addition to such
analysis, our technique also demands that a stock's potential return
compares favorably with other types of investments, particularly bonds.
We do not want to fail conventionally or otherwise, so we let common
sense lead the way in our analysis.
We believe that
if we conduct our research intelligently and apply it in the market
place shrewdly, we will outperform most investors and produce returns
superior to the Standard & Poor's 500 index while assuming less
risk.
Fixed
Income
We limit our fixed income selections to corporate, U.S
Treasury, government agency, and municipal securities rated "A"
or better by the primary rating agencies. We do not speculate or attempt
to enhance fixed income returns by buying lower quality bonds. When
structuring a portfolio for new accounts, we ladder maturities of equal
amounts of bonds with a final maturity of approximately fifteen years.
As the early dated issues mature, we reinvest the proceeds based on
our view of the prevailing rate of inflation, our view of the forces
that affect inflation, and our opinion of bond prices in light of these
factors. We also work to improve returns by shifting between corporate
bonds, U.S Treasuries, government agencies, and municipals. Occasionally,
we will use special knowledge of a corporate situation to exploit mispricing,
though we will not sacrifice quality to do so.